Summer 2011

Issued 01 Feb 2011

Forecast period

Forecast Temperatures

Forecast Precipitation

Primary Reasoning(s)

Forecast Verification (0-2 points)

Jun – Aug 11

Warmer than normal by 0.5- 1.0σ, CPC cooler by 0.5σ.

Drier than normal by 0.5σ, and CPC normal.

SSTs are in La Nina and remain there.

Warm 1 (+2.5° F)
Normal 2 (- 0.70”)
Climo 0 / 2
CPC 0 / 2

 

NOTE: These are our forecasts and they are based on the information found in several publications on the Climate Group's website (see Climate Variability section). One should not consider that these will be 100% reliable. Also, they forecast the AGGREGATE statistical character of the summer (June, July, August) or winter (December, January, February) season. This does not mean that warm and cold spells, wet and dry spells will not all occur in one month or season. Please use with caution.

If you have any questions contact me at LupoA [at] missouri [dot] edu.