Winter 2010-2011

Issued 25 Aug 2010

Forecast period

Forecast Temperatures

Forecast Precipitation

Primary Reasoning(s)

Forecast Verification (0-2 points)

Dec 10 – Feb 11

Cooler than normal (0.5 – 1.0σ).
CPC warmer by same.

Drier than normal by 0.5σ.
CPC forecasts normal.

SSTs evolving toward La Nina, with a warm anomaly in the gulf of AK. Could be a winter of blocking.

Cold 1(-3.9° F)
Normal 2 (+.38”)
Climo 0 / 2
CPC 0 /2


NOTE: These are our forecasts and they are based on the information found in several publications on the Climate Group's website (see Climate Variability section). One should not consider that these will be 100% reliable. Also, they forecast the AGGREGATE statistical character of the summer (June, July, August) or winter (December, January, February) season. This does not mean that warm and cold spells, wet and dry spells will not all occur in one month or season. Please use with caution.

If you have any questions contact me at LupoA [at] missouri [dot] edu.