Winter 2016-2017

Issued 15 Sep 2016

The Winter 2016-2017 forecast is available as a PowerPoint presentation. Click here to download the forecast.



Forecast period

Forecast Temperatures

Forecast Precipitation

Primary Reasoning(s)

Forecast Verification (0-2 points)

Dec 16 – Feb 17

Cooler by 0.5-1 sigma, NCEP was for normal temp.

Above normal precipitation, NCEP predicted normal precip too.

We expected La Niña, things stayed close to Neutral.

Warmer + 5.8 F 0!
Drier – 3.68” 0! A complete bust.
NCEP 0/0
Climo 0/0.


NOTE: These are our forecasts and they are based on the information found in several publications on the Climate Group's website (see Climate Variability section). One should not consider that these will be 100% reliable. Also, they forecast the AGGREGATE statistical character of the summer (June, July, August) or winter (December, January, February) season. This does not mean that warm and cold spells, wet and dry spells will not all occur in one month or season. Please use with caution.

If you have any questions contact me at LupoA [at] missouri [dot] edu.